I admit I underestimated Trump. Until a few days ago the best I could say about him was that he is a friendly and upbeat guy. I still think he isn’t fit for the office of the Presidency (maybe he would be fit to be mayor of New York?) and I doubt he will be a success, but you simply do not hijack one political party that dates back to Lincoln and lay waste to another that dates back to Andrew Jackson (a Trumpian figure in his own right) without strategy and cunning.
Perhaps the parties were fragile and ready to be smashed like the idol with feet of clay – the Biblical author came up with a brilliant image – but no one saw it until after the fact.
Trump’s great weakness is that he says whatever is on his mind at the moment, even if it contradicts whatever was on his mind the moment before that, but it is also a strength. The other day he mentioned that the problem with Palestinians – Israeli relations was that the Palestinians were never asked to give anything in negotiations, it was always the Israelis giving something up. He then said that had it not been for Merkel letting a million rapey Arabs walk into her country Britain would not have jumped the E.U.
The governing ideology states that Israelis must give into Palestinian demands even if those demands put their own security at risk, that is, more Israelis have to get murdered in horrific ways in the short term so the rest of the world can have peace in the long term. I guarantee that a few hundred thousand Israelis heard what Trump said and agreed.
The governing ideology sees mass migration of unskilled labor as an unalloyed good with no possible downside and if you disagree you are a racist, even as Paris and Berlin are shot up and little girls and boys get raped (hussies should have been wearing burkas!). I am sure plenty of Brexiteers heard Trump and silently agreed.
Trump’s power is that he says the forbidden things people are thinking but are afraid to say. Trump’s victory shows how fragile the governing ideology is, which is why people are freaking out.
Whether this translates to success for Trump over the long term I cannot say.